Petroleum Project Economics and Risk Analysis
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Petroleum Project Economics and Risk Analysis Course
Introduction:
When undertaking a project related to petroleum, such as field development, it is crucial to possess the ability to select the most economically viable option. This involves conducting a comprehensive evaluation of various investment opportunities, considering economic indicators and performing sensitivity analysis.
Predicting profit, production, costs, and cash flow through specific techniques enables analysts to assess different decision alternatives and determine the optimal outcome. A thorough understanding of economic indicators, risk assessment, and uncertainty is essential. Additionally, familiarity with diverse economic structures, such as tax regimes and production sharing contracts, enhances the overall quality and value of economic analysis.
Course Objectives:
At the end of the Petroleum Project Economics and Risk Analysis training course, you will be able to:
- Understand various economic terms used in the Oil & Gas industry
- Understand how to develop economic models of various petroleum fiscal regimes
- Carry out cashflow analysis, different economic analyses for petroleum related project and determine economic indicators
- Evaluate and quantify risks and uncertainties
- Make the right investment decision in the presence of risk
- Carry out a comprehensive economic evaluation study for any petroleum related project including risk analysis and sensitivity study using spreadsheet
- Contribute to the petroleum project investment within a solid economic system and do a detailed economic evaluation
- Contribute to the decision-making process for any petroleum related project
Who Should Attend?
The Petroleum Projects Economics & Risk Analysis training course is designed for:
- Petroleum/Reservoir Engineers who want to determine the profitability of producing new discoveries
- Engineers, geologists, economists, accountants, technicians who need to learn how to conduct economic evaluation and to understand the role of petroleum economics in investment decision making
- Supervisors & managers in the Planning, Exploration, Production, Projects, Financing and Projects Departments in Oil & Gas Companies who are involved in making field development decisions.
Course Outlines:
Cashflow Analysis
- Familiarization with Economic terms
- Setting up Cashflow Calculation
- Depreciation Methods
- Loss Carry Forwards
- Inflation
- Nominal & Real Cashflow
- Sunk Costs
- Project Financing
Economic Indicators
- Economic Indicators Definitions
- Present Value Concept
- Discount Factor
- Net Present Value
- Internal Rate of Return
- Effect of Project Delay
- Payback Period
- Profit / Investment Ratio
- Incremental Projects
Risks and Uncertainties
- Risk & Uncertainty
- Expected Value Concept
- Decision Tree Analysis
- Farm-out Decision
- Probability Analysis
- Sensitivity Analysis
- Probability Distribution
- Monte Carlo Simulation
Setting up Spreadsheet Calculation
- Introduction to Spreadsheet Calculation
- Simple Cashflow using Excel
- NPV Calculations
- Application of Economic Indicators
- Class Discussion
Setting up Oil Field Development Model
- Setting up an Integrated Economic Model of a Typical Oil Field Development
- Project Sensitivity Analysis for the Selected Model
- Introduction to Russell Field Model
- Final Remarks