Plant Reliability Prediction, Analysis and Modeling Engineering

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Plant Reliability Prediction, Analysis and Modeling Engineering Course
Introduction:
Every successful business needs high plant reliability, and in the current economic environment, this is more crucial than ever. Engineers must make sure that every option is being used to maximize plant performance and reliability because the costs of equipment failure and decreased output might be high. Reliability Centered Maintenance (RCM), one of the five basic approaches that engineers can take to plant maintenance, is one of the least applied (perhaps due to its lack of widespread understanding).
Course Objectives:
At the end of this training course, you will learn to:
- Explore and understand the power contained in maintenance history records (failure data), and how this can be harnessed using statistical approaches to improve maintenance (and hence overall plant) performance
- Analyze failure data using a range of first principles and industry-standard methods, all implemented in Microsoft Excel
- Understand failure mode shape analysis and thereafter to extract failure mode shapes from history record data and use this to optimize Planned Maintenance (PM) activities
- Understand the theory and application of reliability modelling
- Apply the theory of reliability modeling to a range of practical case studies, using the teaching version of an industry-standard reliability modelling software package
- Develop from first principles a practical and comprehensive reliability modelling and statistical analysis toolbox in Microsoft Excel, and use this to analyze numerous practical case studies
- Use reliability models to predict future spare parts requirements and the proportions of maintenance time that will be spent in reactive (breakdown) and proactive (PM/PPM) maintenance activities
- Explore the implementation of a Reliability Centered Maintenance approach as part of a modern maintenance management strategy, including a detailed cost-benefit analysis of a real application
Who Should Attend?
It is highly recommended to Reliability Engineers, Maintenance Planners, Maintenance Supervisors and Maintenance Engineers.
Course Outlines:
Maintenance strategies and the power of historical data
- Fundamental approaches to maintenance
- Formulating a maintenance strategy
- The importance of maintenance history records
- Understanding plant performance
- An introduction to the statistical analysis of failure data
- The principles of failure data analysis
- Industry-standard measures of reliability (Availability, MTBF, MTTR, etc)
- Extensive hands-on experience
- Open discussion
Statistical analysis of failure data
- Pareto analysis, rank order charts and standard deviation
- Linear regression models and determining model accuracy
- Failure mode analysis
- Interpreting failure mode shapes
- Extracting failure mode shapes from real data
- Optimizing PM activity using mode shape analysis
- Knowing when to use a breakdown maintenance approach
- Extensive hands-on experience
- Open discussion
Reliability models and approaches to modelling
- The principles of RCM and reliability modelling
- Developing a reliability model
- Weibull statistics and the range of Weibull models (2 parameter, 3 parameter, maximum likelihood, maximum accuracy)
- The Weibull curve and plotting data on a Weibull scale
- Defining parameters: shape, scale, mean life, minimum life, characteristic life, standard deviation
- Model accuracy assessment (observed model accuracy and hypothesis rejection)
- Interpreting model results
- Confidence levels and Weibull critical values
- Key graphical functions:
- The reliability function: survival probability
- The cumulative distribution function
- The failure probability density function
- The failure rate function
- Extensive hands-on experience
- Open discussion
Cost based maintenance and the basis of a reliability toolbox
- Converting reliability model data into cost based maintenance decisions
- Optimizing PM activity based on cost and by using reliability predictions (note that the course will NOT cover the costing of maintenance activities, but will assume that this information is already known)
- Calculating the cheapest PM interval for age-based replacement policies
- Graphing costs versus PM interval
- Predicting future failures
- Predicting spares utilization
- Development of the key components of a reliability toolbox
- Extensive hands-on experience
- Open discussion
The finalization of a comprehensive reliability toolbox in Excel
- The cost of maintenance convenience and making informed maintenance optimization decisions
- Incorporating real world effects within reliability models
- Specifying the PM interval and understanding the implications of doing this
- Completing the reliability toolbox
- Graphing toolbox results
- Toolbox testing and comparison of results with best-of-breed modelling software
- Extensive hands-on experience
- Overall review of concepts learned and how they can be applied in practice